Donald Trump is going to fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller any minute now, according to nearly every political news outlet in the country, based on no evidence whatsoever. Last month’s logic: Mueller arrested Paul Manafort, therefore Trump is about to fire Mueller. Last week’s logic: Michael Flynn cut a deal, therefore Trump is about to fire Mueller. This week’s logic: Mueller is probing Trump’s finances, therefore Trump is about to fire Mueller. It’s a media feeding frenzy, and it’s out of control.
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Remember all the media buzz about Donald Trump firing James Comey just before it happened? No, you don’t, because there was none. That was the entire point. Trump was trying to catch everyone off guard by firing Comey at a time when no one was expecting it, hoping that he would get away with it because not enough of the public was paying attention to the Russia scandal at the time. It backfired on him, but there was a logic to it.
Trump firing Mueller right now would be completely logicless, even by Trump’s warped standards. He knows everyone is watching him right now. He knows the public is eager to eat him alive if he does it. He knows his own Republican Party might even have to dunk him for it. They could, and at this point probably would, turn around and immediately reappoint Mueller as a more powerful Independent Counsel. It’s not that the GOP cares about doing the right thing. It just doesn’t want to go into the midterms having to answer for why it let Trump fire Mueller. Trump, for all his deranged ideas and increasingly addled brain, knows this.
So why is the media pushing the narrative so vigilantly about Donald Trump preparing to fire Robert Mueller? It’s the same reason the media has begun automatically hyping this same narrative every time Mueller has made a breakthrough. It comes down to one word: ratings. People hear this, they get scared, they tune in for more. It’s not that the odds of Trump firing Mueller are zero. Anything is possible. It’s just that the odds of it are no better now than the last time ten times the media breathlessly overhyped this particular narrative.
Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report
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For lack of a better example, the last three weeks of the Trump-Russia scandal have resembled a game of musical chairs. Everyone is nervously waiting for the music to stop so they can try to hurry up and grab a chair before they’re all gone. The music started when Paul Manafort was arrested, and it just stopped when Michael Flynn signaled last night that he’s negotiating a deal. Now the scandal is done being musical chairs, and it’s officially a feeding frenzy.
Flynn, by virtue of being one of the most valuable potential cooperating witnesses, and by virtue of stepping forward at the right time, will get the best deal. That doesn’t mean he’ll go free. He’ll surely end up doing prison time. But he’ll taste freedom at the end of his sentence, as opposed to the life in prison he’d otherwise have been facing. Perhaps most importantly to him, his son will likely go free. Regardless of why Flynn ultimately decided to flip, everything now suddenly changes for everyone else involved in the scandal.
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Everyone else facing even the slightest whiff of potential criminal charges in the Trump-Russia scandal now finds themselves in the following situation: Michael Flynn is in the process of cutting a deal that will likely take down Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr, and Jared Kushner. At this point, what the hell could anyone else have to offer that would warrant a deal? Robert Mueller now has relatively little incentive to let anyone else cut a leniency deal, beyond his already-demonstrated preference for building overwhelmingly comprehensive criminal cases.
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So yeah, a few more people in Donald Trump’s Russia scandal will be able to get favorable deals, if they’re sitting on the right information. But they’d better hurry, because Michael Flynn just took the best deal off the table. What’s left now is nothing but table scraps, and not enough to go around, which means we’re looking at a feeding frenzy among Trump’s remaining associates.
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Feeding frenzy gamehouse. Bill Palmer is the publisher of the political news outlet Palmer Report
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